Showing posts with label flooding. Show all posts
Showing posts with label flooding. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Yet another thing to #LookOutFor in #ClimateChange matters. - http://clapway.com/2015/07/29/climate-change-u-s-coastal-cities-to-flood-frequently-says-triple-threat-study-245/

The variously employed catchphrase “triple threat” is finding new use as a means to describe the multifarious threats of global climate change for 40% of the United States’ population. These three antagonisms are heavy rainfall, storm surges and a general, pernicious rise in sea level along American coastlines. In a study recently published by the journal Nature Climate Change, these coming catastrophes are expected to cause “compound flooding” laying waste to low-lying, highly populated urban spaces encircling the nation.


NEW CORRELATION FOR CLIMATE CHANGE


It’s true that many previous studies have analyzed the correlation between the increase in flood rates and overall sea-level rise, this new study is first to investigate the causal links between primary and secondary effects of climate change in the US.


“When storm surge and heavy precipitation co-occur, the potential for flooding in low-lying coastal areas is often much greater than from either, in isolation,” the published study warns. But, as can be expected, “long-term sea level rise is the main driver for accelerated flooding.”


Climate Change- U.S. Coastal Cities to Flood Frequently, Says


HISTORICAL CLIMATE CHANGE REVEALS BREAK FROM NATURE’S


The scientists responsible for this study compared recent findings to more dated data, sifting through the dredges of historical ecology to track tide levels and hurricanes. By recognizing the elements involved in simultaneous (or compound) disasters occurred, they found that a significant connection exists between the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic coastlines. The kicker here is that this is precisely where today’s compound flooding is increasing in frequency.


NEW YORK CITY’S CLIMATE CHANGE WILL QUICKEN, TOO


E.g., New York City’s risk of flooding from compounded ecological risks has more than doubled in the last 60 years. “If sea levels continued to rise, this would certainly have an effect on storm surges, and storm surges have an effect on compound flooding,” said Thomas Wahl, member of the University of South Florida and lead author of the study.


IT GETS WORSE (AGAIN)


Unfortunately, even if we dodge the bullet of serious sea levels’ rising, severe storms and massive floods will become more frequent, hailing the imminent arrival of major natural disasters in the most populated US cities on the coast, where almost 40% of Americans reside. What’s worse, if sea levels rise more than 20 feet, as per the study’s worst-case scenario, the aftermath will be spectacular. And in this case, that is not a good thing.


A CENTURY OF CHANGE, A SENSE OF COMING DAYS


Since the days of ecological records’ beginnings in 1880, temperatures worldwide have actually increased by 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit. Additionally, the past century has seen the global average sea level increase by seven whole inches. This is expected to continue and accelerate over the next few decades because Antarctica’s floating ice shelves keep melting. These ice shelves are our only vanguard to glaciers and ice sheets threatening to enter our oceans.



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Climate Change: U.S. Coastal Cities to Flood Frequently, Says "Triple Threat" Study

Saturday, July 11, 2015

Global Climate Change: 20 Feet Underwater is Optimistic Forecast - http://clapway.com/2015/07/11/global-climate-change-20-feet-underwater-is-optimistic-forecast678/

The future is dark, and the future is wet, says a new paper from the journal Science. Although it forecasts a thirty-five year wait for really heavy climate change, the paper claims that in this time, the sea levels can be expected to rise by at least 20 feet. To make matters bleaker, this is a best-case scenario forecast, i.e. the twenty feet is an optimistic minimum assuming we manage can manage, as a global society, to hold the global temperature at 2 degrees Celsius higher. Many, however, believe we’re too far gone to even stop the temperature there.


SLIPPERY SLOPE IS not a fallacy IN the field of CLIMATE CHANGE


The thing is that when the Earth’s polar ice sheets begin to melt, the path to global climate change is a slippery slope. In Earth’s distant history, whenever temperatures were one to three degrees above preindustrial norms, the sea levels surged upwards.


“As the planet warms, the poles warm even faster, raising important questions about how ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica will respond,” said Andrea Dutton, a geochemist at the University of Florida, and the study’s lead author. She continues, “While this amount of sea-level rise will not happen overnight, it is sobering to realize how sensitive the polar ice sheets are to temperatures that we are on path to reach within decades.”


In short, climate change will cause rising water levels worldwide that are going to make the outline of continents unfamiliar; coastlines will be strangers again. In what one might imagine as a hysteria arcade, Climate Central generated an interactive map which shows precisely what these added twenty feet of sea will mean for America.


WET GEAR EMPATHY


It’s kind of strange looking at these photos and trying to imagine a future New York City in the year 2100, or even hundreds of years afterward. Whether nobly cleaning up our mess or ignobly hateful of our wasteful prelude, the constant of real estate remains universal. The U.S. will lose 48,000 square miles of land, which is presently home to 5 percent of our population.


GLOBAL WOES


This depressive interactive map doesn’t just limn the U.S.’s sad, drowning future. Globally, 375 million people are presently in danger of being flooded out of a home.


MOMENTO, THIS IS OPTIMISM


Keep in mind that the 20-feet below scenario is an optimistic estimate for climate change, assuming we are able to keep the global temp below the aforementioned upper limit. Also, according to the study, throughout similarly warm periods in Earth’s distant past, the water has risen up to 42 feet above current levels.


However, what’s clear is that without serious, drastic action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that the sea could rise an additional 38 inches higher than the 8 inches we have already suffered, during the rest of the century.



 


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Global Climate Change: 20 Feet Underwater is Optimistic Forecast